My personal experience with a profitability transitionI designed the GEMINI next Generation house in February 2019 and tried to figure out in March 2019 why it looks so different from my design in 1992. The design target was in 1992 30 MWh yearly yield in Austria. This can be done with 30 kW peak south-oriented photovoltaic or 23 kW peak horizontally tracking the sun photovoltaic. Photovoltaics were priced at 7 €/Watt.. 30,000 × 7 €/W peak = 210,000 € but 23,000 × 7 €/W peak + 5,000 € for turning the house is only 166,000 €. In 2019, photovoltaics were already so cheap that 30 MWh/a could be best done by 36 kW peak east-west oriented. Now I tried to figure out in what year the profitability transition took place. It was 2010 and without knowing about the term “profitability transition”, I designed exactly in this year low-rise row houses with south-facing photovoltaic panels. The equation had changed to 30,000 × 1 €/W peak = 30,000 € and 23,000 × 1 €/W peak + 7,000 for turning the house is also 30,000 €.
Birds can fly without knowing all the terms of aerodynamics. I reacted with my design change in 2010 to an ongoing “profitability transition” without knowing the term at this time. I realized this concept only 9 years later.
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Birds can fly without knowing all the terms of aerodynamics. I reacted with my design change in 2010 to an ongoing “profitability transition” without knowing the term at this time. I realized this concept only 9 years later.


